matthew.cafe

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    Mavs Trade History Leading to the 2024 Finals Team

    Matt Leos

    I have no idea how the following leads to an NBA Finals appearance.

    2018-2019 Season

    1. Mavs trade Trae Young and a 1st for Luka Doncic (in the draft).
    2. Mavs draft Jalen Brunson.
    3. Mavs trade stuff and two 1sts for stuff and Kristaps Porzingis.
    4. Mavs trade Harrison Barnes for Justin Jackson and Zach Randolph and then waive Zach Randolph.

    2019-2020 Season

    1. Mavs receive two 2nds for stuff.
    2. Mavs trade five 2nds in different deals for Delon Wright, Willie Cauley-Stein, and James Johnson.

    2020-2021 Season

    1. Mavs draft Josh Green.
    2. Mavs trade one 2nd and stuff for podcaster J.J. Reddick.
    3. Entire front office shake-up.

    2021-2022 Season

    1. Mavs trade Porzingis and a 2nd for Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans.

    2022-2023 Season

    1. Mavs trade two 2nds for Jaden Hardy.
    2. Mavs trade stuff for Christian Wood.
    3. Jalen Brunson walks free.
    4. Mavs trade Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, two 2nds, and one 1st for Kyrie Irving.

    2023-2024 Season

    1. Mavs take Richaun Holmes contract to receive Olivier-Maxence Prosper.
    2. Mavs trade Davis Bertans and Cason Wallace for Dereck Lively II.
    3. Mavs sign Derrick Jones Jr. via free agency.
    4. Mavs effectively trade Reggie Bullock and a 1st swap for Grant Williams.
    5. Mavs trade a 1st swap and Richaun Holmes for Daniel Gafford.
    6. Mavs trade Grant Williams, Seth Curry, and a 1st for P.J. Washington and two 2nds.

    Mavs draft picks remaining thru 2030 (seven drafts):

    • Four 1sts (with the worst end of two swaps)
    • Four 2nds (with the worst end of one swap)
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    Half Baked Trade Ideas

    Matt Leos

    Update 6/19: Brian Wright really seems to not want to trade Vassell.

    In no particular order. And also we can throw in a future top 16 protected 1st if needed. See future draft picks.

    • Pelicans | Spurs
      • Pelicans get Vassell, McDermott
        • 3&D wing and save $88mil in guaranteed salary over next two seasons
      • Spurs get CJ McCollum, #14 draft pick
    • Mavericks | Spurs
      • Mavs get Vassell
        • 3&D wing and save $49mil in guaranteed salary over next two seasons
      • Spurs get #10 draft pick, Bertans, JaVale McGee
    • Cavs | Spurs
      • Cavs get Zach Collins, #44 draft pick
        • Save $52mil in guaranteed salary and move Mobley to C position
      • Spurs get Jarrett Allen
    • Hawks | Spurs
      • Hawks get McDermott and/or Graham if they want, #33 pick
      • Spurs get John Collins, #14 pick
    • Magic | Spurs
      • Magic get Collins, Graham (preferably) or McDermott, and a future 1st round lottery protected
      • Spurs get #11 draft pick, Jonathan Isaac

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    Teams around the league – Offseason 2023

    Matt Leos

    With the new CBA adding more punishments for exceeding the salary aprons, in theory teams will be more incentivized to stay below the cap thresholds.

    Teams that probably want to or need to shed contracts but none interest me

    • Golden State
    • NY Knicks
    • Lakers
    • Boston
    • Phoenix
    • 76ers
    • Portland

    Teams that probably want to or need to shed contracts and I will take one

    • Clippers
      • Batum
      • Covington
    • Atlanta
      • Capela
      • Collins
      • Okongwu
      • #15 draft pick
    • Cavs
      • Okoro
      • Cedi
      • Allen
    • NOLA
      • Nance
      • #14 draft pick
    • Mavs
      • #10 draft pick
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    2023 Free agents and players that may get traded. v2

    Matt Leos

    I am just going to keep a list and do further deep dives in different posts. In general, the higher they are on this list, the more I like them in San Antonio

    • Jarrett Allen
    • Naz Reid
    • Brook Lopez
    • Cam Johnson
    • Clint Capela
    • Paul Reed
    • Kuzma
    • Thomas Bryant
    • John Collins
    • Josh Hart
    • Poeltl
    • Siakam
    • Mo Wagner
    • Malik Beasley
    • Batum
    • Matisse Thybulle
    • Ayton
    • VanVleet
    • Landale
    • Eubanks
    • Derozan
    • Westbrook
    • Chris Paul
    • Austin Reaves
    • Poole
    • D’Lo
    • Seth Curry
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    2023 Free agents and players that may get traded. v1

    Matt Leos

    Updated: June 12, 2023 – Added Jarrett Allen, Cedi Osman

    Here is a list of possible Spurs targets and some thoughts on them. Obviously there are a lot more targets but these ones seemed the most interesting and/or plausible.

    Ultimately, I can’t tell what we really really need. I am pretty satisfied with our guards and wings heading into next year, so I think we probably want a PF or C. I think we need to play a traditional center with Wemby roaming on defense. Brook Lopez and Chris Paul would be my favorites but I doubt they want to join a rebuilding team. Of the more likely candidates, I think I like Kuzma, Naz Reid, Cam Johnson, and Poeltl the best.

    PlayerFA or TradeBut Why?ThoughtsScore
    KuzmaFAScoring/ Veteran/ DefenseI actually like this idea the best10
    Naz ReidFACenterMy favorite [realistic] center idea9
    Jarrett AllenTradeCenterSimmons and Russillo mentioned Allen on the pod and I would do it tomorrow9
    Cam JohnsonFAGood wingI like this but I think I would rather go after a PF or C8
    Josh HartFADefense/ VeteranProbably resigning with Knicks8
    PoeltlFACenterProbably resigning with Toronto9
    Chris PaulTradeLeaderWould be amazing but probably going to the Lakers10
    Brook LopezFALeader/ DefenseWould be amazing but probably resigning with Bucks10
    D’LoFABench scorerNo idea what his contract is going to look like6
    PooleTradeGS is prob going to trade himToo expensive2
    BatumTradeRole player/ VeteranClippers roster6
    Cedi OsmanTradeMaybe include in the Allen deal.I like him.6
    Austin ReavesFAHe might be awesomeDont want to pay long term money5
    VanVleetFAHe is awesomeDont want to pay long term money5
    DerozanTradeMiss himJust want him back6
    WestbrookFAFor a bit of nasty off the benchI’m actually not against it on a two year contract7
    AytonTradeCenterDon’t need to add another project and too expensive3
    SiakamTradeToo expensive but would be good5
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    Spurs trade for good will

    Matt Leos

    Spurs effectively made $480K so that Boston could save $6.6M. That’s $6.2M of good will – hopefully with no expiration date.

    Update…. Bringing back Dieng.

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    Player PPG Leader Over Team PPG Average Per NBA Season

    Matt Leos

    The red line is the average amount of points that a team scored during a given season (left axis). The blue line is the amount of points that the league leader scored per game (right axis). The green line is the percentage of points that the league leader scored in relation to the average amount of points that the team scored.

    Take for example the ’05-’06 season where Kobe scored an average of 35.5 PPG while the team average was 97 PPG. So Kobe averaged 36.6% of the team average.

    The green horizontal line is the average of all the percentages. The purpose is to put scoring in perspective across all seasons. In ’88-’89 Michael Jordan averaged a league high of 32.5 PPG, but that was a high scoring season league wide. The league averaged over 109 points and so there were just a lot of points available. MJ’s percent of the team average was 32.5/109=29.8%. In ’02-’03 Tmac scored a league best of only 28 PPG but teams were only averaging 95. The league was a different sport at the time. His 28 PPG (28/95=29.4%) was statistically almost identical to MJ’s 32.5 PPG from a decade before.